Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000582 0.000625 0.000669 0.000719 0.000772 0.000827 0.000890
2025-12-14 0.000509 0.000568 0.000632 0.000705 0.000788 0.000878 0.000984
2025-12-21 0.000457 0.000526 0.000603 0.000695 0.000802 0.000923 0.001069
2025-12-28 0.000408 0.000482 0.000567 0.000670 0.000795 0.000939 0.001119
2026-01-04 0.000373 0.000451 0.000542 0.000656 0.000797 0.000964 0.001178
2026-01-11 0.000350 0.000432 0.000530 0.000655 0.000812 0.001004 0.001256
2026-01-18 0.000332 0.000417 0.000521 0.000656 0.000830 0.001046 0.001337
2026-01-25 0.000315 0.000402 0.000510 0.000655 0.000844 0.001083 0.001410
2026-02-01 0.000295 0.000383 0.000494 0.000644 0.000844 0.001101 0.001461
2026-02-08 0.000279 0.000367 0.000480 0.000636 0.000846 0.001121 0.001513
2026-02-15 0.000264 0.000353 0.000468 0.000629 0.000849 0.001142 0.001567
2026-02-22 0.000252 0.000341 0.000457 0.000623 0.000854 0.001165 0.001623
2026-03-01 0.000240 0.000330 0.000449 0.000621 0.000865 0.001200 0.001700
2026-03-08 0.000227 0.000316 0.000436 0.000613 0.000866 0.001221 0.001760
2026-03-15 0.000215 0.000303 0.000425 0.000605 0.000868 0.001243 0.001822
2026-03-22 0.000200 0.000285 0.000405 0.000584 0.000850 0.001234 0.001836
2026-03-29 0.000189 0.000273 0.000391 0.000572 0.000844 0.001242 0.001878
2026-04-05 0.000181 0.000265 0.000385 0.000571 0.000854 0.001275 0.001956
2026-04-12 0.000175 0.000259 0.000381 0.000572 0.000867 0.001312 0.002044
2026-04-19 0.000169 0.000253 0.000376 0.000571 0.000877 0.001344 0.002123
2026-04-26 0.000161 0.000243 0.000366 0.000562 0.000873 0.001355 0.002170
2026-05-03 0.000154 0.000235 0.000357 0.000554 0.000872 0.001369 0.002223
2026-05-10 0.000147 0.000228 0.000349 0.000548 0.000872 0.001386 0.002279